Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.602069 0.667992 0.739299 0.822353 0.916666 1.020709 1.144546
2025-08-24 0.501332 0.592283 0.698271 0.831719 0.996393 1.194415 1.452778
2025-08-31 0.439406 0.540049 0.663014 0.825857 1.038164 1.308787 1.685056
2025-09-07 0.397982 0.505046 0.641004 0.828738 1.085065 1.428458 1.933037
2025-09-14 0.359631 0.468511 0.611246 0.815334 1.105077 1.510127 2.134626
2025-09-21 0.329334 0.438990 0.586817 0.804826 1.125353 1.591089 2.341650
2025-09-28 0.297213 0.403806 0.550900 0.773565 1.110835 1.617467 2.466033
2025-10-05 0.284688 0.394686 0.550299 0.792545 1.171495 1.761806 2.793639
2025-10-12 0.272503 0.384836 0.547418 0.807155 1.225878 1.900897 3.129895
2025-10-19 0.259606 0.372800 0.540057 0.813669 1.267181 2.022006 3.450157
2025-10-26 0.247617 0.361145 0.532169 0.818237 1.305020 2.140304 3.780458
2025-11-02 0.237515 0.351588 0.526645 0.825815 1.348070 2.271428 4.152527
2025-11-09 0.221864 0.332656 0.505426 0.806270 1.343359 2.318415 4.371334
2025-11-16 0.213303 0.324432 0.500872 0.814662 1.389314 2.464655 4.816634
2025-11-23 0.202780 0.312306 0.488962 0.809039 1.408599 2.561377 5.171114
2025-11-30 0.194732 0.303687 0.482223 0.811838 1.443606 2.692500 5.622452
2025-12-07 0.184521 0.290844 0.467435 0.798758 1.446513 2.758303 5.933745
2025-12-14 0.175595 0.279649 0.454754 0.788501 1.453831 2.833778 6.280334
2025-12-21 0.164037 0.263348 0.432189 0.757986 1.417487 2.811432 6.380901
2025-12-28 0.161013 0.261598 0.435231 0.776514 1.483474 3.021144 7.111878
2026-01-04 0.157494 0.258761 0.436092 0.790774 1.541781 3.220729 7.855741
2026-01-11 0.153036 0.254001 0.433121 0.797132 1.583585 3.387056 8.541333
2026-01-18 0.148581 0.249000 0.429379 0.801591 1.621540 3.548829 9.247377